Future scenario’s of an energy descent world part 3

Following on from part 2 as it does, here is part 3 of our ongoing series…….

4. Internal Threats

So if biker gangs, martial law, and foreign occupiers aren’t our greatest security threats, what is our greatest risk? In short, crime. This is not a trivial threat. Consider the number of neighbours or relatives you know who have made preparations or even listened to concerns about Peak Oil and the host of other crises on the horizon. Chances are they can be counted on one hand, at best. This presents a huge security risk literally in our own backyards as our hungry friends and neighbours grow desperate in their needs for food, warmth, and water. Crime will present itself more and more frequently as time goes by and is by orders of magnitude the security risk about which we should be most concerned.

The catch, however, is that we need friends and neighbours in order to assure our long-term survival. Despite many survivalist claims to the contrary, it is a much greater risk for an individual or family to attempt to survive the wilderness alone than the threat of attack by those closest to you. The strategy for security preparations against local crime is by no means a purely military one. Remember the adage “war is continuation of politics by other means”. The wisest strategy for security is one that focuses on developing a strong political situation which dictates the smallest possible military backup.

So now that we have identified threats and risks how do we deal with them?

What follows is the core of that strategy.

Now that we have identified the primary security threats to our community, where do we begin defending against them? The answer, as most any military professional will tell you, is to define clear goals in an overarching security strategy.

When talking of security, you must first understand that security does not necessarily equate to military solutions. Community (or National) security includes many different aspects, the most significant of which are economics, diplomacy, information, and military power. Security is based on social stability. Stability is the aggregate measure of all aspects of security. You cannot hope to establish stability to a post-PO community by a military solution alone. This is the source of the failure of authoritarian regimes throughout history and it is the source of current failures in the Middle East. Stability cannot be dictated. A wise and sustainable Community Security Strategy (CSS) must encompass all aspects of a stable community. This means dividing appropriate attention and resources to not only martial solutions, but economic, informational, and yes, diplomatic aspects.

It is absolutely critical to understand the context of military decisions before making them. To do otherwise would unquestionably doom your community to failure from unseen directions. I propose the following key elements for a comprehensive CSS: Establish economic security, raise and maintain an appropriate security presence, conduct regional community outreach, and establish robust information systems.

Tune in later for part 4 of this series, coming soon ………

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4 thoughts on “Future scenario’s of an energy descent world part 3

  1. I’ll add to this that ensuring you have nothing to steal is a great way to keep crime away. Leave the doors unlocked, blinds open, and make certain that potential criminals can see that their time is better spent elsewhere. I did this with my car for years, parking in a dark alley behind my house. Cars were being broken into left and right, so I just took everything of value out of the car and left the doors open. No theft, no broken windows.

    Along with this comes the realization that I’d need to rid my life of valuables that make me stand out from my neighbors. If I lose my attachment to these things and sell/trade them off, it leaves me with less to worry about and the thieves with less to care about. If someone wants to take my stuff, I’m not going to fight them for it because it’s just stuff. If it’s a person I care about who’s being threatened, the equation changes somewhat, but any material price is worth paying at that point.

      • Well, I didn’t want to go down that road, but that’s essentially what I’m walking toward. Many of the problems in a collapse scenario start dissolving with the application of that aphorism, and the concept of ownership in general is on shaky ground. That’s a WHOLE other can of beans, though.

      • @Hontz A lot of people seem to suffer needlessly by treating things as permanent ‘possessions’ which they own rather than transient ‘tools’ which are necessary to perform a certain job at a certain time and place.

        There’s real power in acquiring knowledge which allows you to be in control of those tools which can aid in – or are essential to – the fulfillment of the essentials of human existence; food, water, shelter, sanitation, health and communication. By studying disciplines such as permaculture, bush craft, appropriate and indeginous technologies, first aid and martial arts we actually decrease the need to physicaly possess things because we are able to create essential tools as and when they’re needed. It comes back to that other adage: “Knowledge weighs nothing, carry as much as possible.”

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